Arizona Football

Pac-12 Picks: Four home teams favored, which is dangerous

[tps_title]Colorado at Arizona State[/tps_title]

[tps_header]7 p.m., Pac-12 Networks[/tps_header]

COLORADO (3-2, 0-1) AT
ARIZONA STATE (3-2, 1-1)

7 p.m., Pac-12 Networks

Pointspread: ASU favored by 16

— The game pits Arizona State’s No. 76-ranked offense, averaging 27.6 points per game, against a Colorado defense that ranks No. 46 at 21.4 points per game. ASU’s passing game is averaging 268.8 yards per game, more than Colorado’s secondary allows through the air, 190 yards per game.

— ASU coach Todd Graham is calling the rest of the Sun Devils’ season as a “single-game elimination” from the Pac-12 South race. “You’ve got to go win the next one and win the next one, so obviously it was a huge, huge win for us (at UCLA last week), and very proud of our guys, but we’ve got seven more steps to get to the game we want to be playing in, and the next one and the most important one is Colorado.”

— The Buffaloes opened with a disappointing loss to Hawaii, but reeled off three straight wins. Colorado continued to show signs of progress in last week’s 41-24 loss to Oregon. The Ducks won the previous four games in the series by an average of 43 points, but the Buffaloes were tied at halftime and still within a touchdown in the fourth quarter before the Ducks pulled away.

— Colorado has one of the nation’s best rushing attacks, ranking 18th nationally with 233 yards per game. ASU a breakout game on the ground last week, pounding UCLA for 221 yards on 46 carries.

BETTING TRENDS
Colorado is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado’s last 5 games
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado’s last 5 games on the road
Arizona State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona State is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona State’s last 5 games
Arizona State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

My pick: ASU will win but Colorado will cover

Steve Rivera’s pick: ASU will win and cover

Anthony Gimino’s pick: ASU will win and cover

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