Arizona Football

Pac-12 Picks: Scribes looking to improve upon plus-26 over .500 against spread

[tps_title]Oregon at Stanford[/tps_title]

[tps_header]5:30 p.m., Fox[/tps_header]

OREGON (6-3, 4-2) AT
STANFORD (8-0, 7-1)

5:30 p.m., Fox

Pointspread: Stanford is favored by 9.5 points

— Stanford opened as an 8.5-point favorite.

— The Cardinal can clinch the Pac-12 North title and remain in contention for a spot in the College Football Playoff. The Ducks need to win their final three games and hope for Stanford to lose at home to California next week to win the North.

— The Cardinal rank second in the conference in scoring defense but will have their hands full with Oregon QB Vernon Adams, whose ability to extend plays with his mobility is a major part of the Ducks offense. Adams has thrown for 887 yards and 10 TDs in three games since returning from a broken right index finger.

— Oregon RB Royce Freeman ran for 180 yards last week against Cal for his fifth straight 100-yard game and seventh in the past nine games. He leads the nation with 44 runs of 10 or more yards.

— Stanford RB Christian McCaffrey is perhaps the most versatile player in the country. McCaffrey leads the nation with 2,174 all-purpose yards. McCaffrey has rushed for 1,207 yards, caught 28 passes for 325 more and has gained 887 as a punt and kickoff returner. He has scored eight TDs and threw for another last week at Colorado.

— The winner of this matchup has won the Pac-12 the past five seasons.

— The Cardinal have held the opponent under 30 points 42 times in the past 45 games.

Oregon is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Oregon is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Oregon is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oregon is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Stanford is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Stanford’s last 21 games
Stanford is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

My pick: Stanford will win and cover

Steve Rivera’s pick: Stanford will win and cover

Anthony Gimino’s pick: Stanford will win but Oregon will cover

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