Arizona Basketball

Arizona-UCLA: What to watch, prediction

Allonzo Trier vs. UCLA in McKale Center. (Photo courtesy Arizona Athletics)

It’s Arizona-UCLA. It’s the biggest thing that has happened in Las Vegas in … well, in about the last two seconds probably, but it’s definitely the biggest thing that has ever taken place in the Pac-12 tournament semifinals.

Arizona is ranked No. 7. UCLA is No. 3.

The winner gets to (probably, almost certainly) take on No. 5 Oregon in the championship game Saturday night. And the winner of that gets to:’

1. Be in contention for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA tourney.

2. At least stay in the West as the No. 2 seed behind Gonzaga. Which isn’t a bad way to be.

Arizona won at UCLA. UCLA won at Arizona. So bring on the rubber match at a sold-out and sure-to-be-rockin’ T-Mobile Arena.

Arizona senior guard Kadeem Allen, as he sat in the locker room after a 92-78 victory on Thursday night while UCLA was tipping off against USC, could not hide his excitement about the potential to play the Bruins again.

He said the home loss to UCLA on Feb. 25 stuck with him a little bit longer than most defeats.

“Just because of the night — it was Senior Night,” Allen said. “It was tough how we didn’t really block out and they got offensive rebounds. To lose on Senior Night, it hurt. But we had to understand they’re a good team and there were more games to be played and we had to move on.

“Hopefully, (Friday), we’ll see them and we’ll get revenge.”

UCLA has had its revenge tour, avenging all three of their losses in conference play with victories in February. The Wildcats’ revenge tour starts now. They have a chance to avenge their two league losses — UCLA and Oregon — in about 26 hours in Las Vegas.

First things first.

Here are three things to watch in the Arizona-UCLA game:

1. Rebounding

In UCLA’s victory in Tucson, the Bruins out-rebounded Arizona 35-28. They used a 14-4 edge on the offensive glass to blast their way to a 20-4 advantage in second-chance points. That’s to UCLA’s credit, but it is not its usual model of success. Let’s call that more of an aberration than a trend. Arizona had the rebounding edge, 42-33, in its victory in Pauley Pavilion.

2. Chasing Alford

UCLA point guard Lonzo Ball is going to do Lonzo Ball things. There’s not much you can do about that. Arizona’s focus has to been to stop senior shooting ace Bryce Alford from going off, and you can tell that by how coach Sean Miller assigns his defensive ace.

Allen guards Alford because Miller has felt that Allen is the best at chasing Alford around multiple screens as he searches for a shot.

“He’s a senior. He knows how to play the game,” Allen said of Alford.

3. Allonzo Trier’s scoring

Arizona doesn’t really want to get into a shootout with the nation’s highest-scoring team, but the Wildcats aren’t short of firepower, and Trier is at the hottest he has ever been. He is averaging 22.4 points in the past five games, shooting 57.4 percent from the field (35 of 61), 43.3 percent (13 of 30) from 3-point range and 82.9 percent (29 of 35) from the line.

That’s the kind of offensive brilliance Arizona didn’t always have (Lauri Markkanen usually notwithstanding) when Trier was out for 19 games after a positive PED test.

“I’m just going out there being myself,” Trier said. “I’m trying to help my teammates the best I can and contribute and give them something they didn’t have for the 19 games I didn’t play.”

PREDICTION

UCLA played great against Arizona in Tucson, with just a little more hustle and a little more focus. A couple of plays here and there ended up making the difference, as the Wildcats’ comeback fell just short when Kadeem Allen air-balled a late 3-pointer in a 77-72 loss.

For sure, the Bruins could just shoot their way to victory — not much anybody can do when they get hot — but it’s hard to see Arizona getting pushed around on the boards again. (Perhaps, Keanu Pinder — Mr. Energy — is a potential answer.)

If Arizona wins the boards, it wins the game.

Arizona 81, UCLA 78.

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