Arizona Football

Pac-12 Picks: Scribes combined 22 games above .500 against spread


[tps_title]Colorado at UCLA[/tps_title]

[tps_header]12 p.m., Pac-12 Networks[/tps_header]

COLORADO (4-4, 1-3) AT
UCLA (5-2, 2-2)

12 p.m., Pac-12 Networks

Pointspread: UCLA favored by 22.5 points

— UCLA started as 18.5-point favorites.

— UCLA freshman quarterback Josh Rosen completed 53.7 percent of his passes with five touchdowns and three interceptions in losses to ASU and Stanford, then recovered with 399 yards and three scores without a turnover on 34-of-47 passing against Cal last week.

— Rosen has thrown for 300-plus yards in his last two games, putting him in position to match Brett Hundley’s school-record streak from 2012, and another with at least 350 will match Cade McNown’s school record of three in a season from 1998.

— UCLA is giving up an average of 449.8 yards of total offense in Pac-12 play, which ranks seventh in the conference. The 37.0 points per game it’s conceding is ninth. The Buffaloes, meanwhile, rank 10th in scoring offense (23.8) and yardage (388.3).

— The Bruins recorded five sacks against Cal after managing eight in their first six games and just two in their other three Pac-12 contests. Colorado quarterback Sefo Liufau has been sacked 16 times in conference play, tied with Cal’s Jared Goff for second most.

— Colorado has dropped 19 straight games to ranked opponents by an average of 29.4 points, although its 40-37 home overtime loss to then-No. 25 UCLA on Oct. 25, 2014, is tied for the closest.

— The Buffaloes are entering with renewed confidence after ending a 14-game Pac-12 losing streak with last Saturday’s 17-13 win at Oregon State. It was their first road win in the conference since Sept. 22, 2012, snapping a 13-game slide.

— Colorado is 5-35 in conference games since entering the league and has never won back-to-back Pac-12 contests in the same season. The Buffaloes have yet to face a ranked foe this year, but three of their next five opponents are in this week’s poll.

Colorado is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado’s last 6 games
Colorado is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
UCLA is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
UCLA is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UCLA’s last 7 games
UCLA is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

My pick: UCLA will win but Colorado will cover

Steve Rivera’s pick: UCLA will win and cover

Anthony Gimino’s pick: UCLA will win and cover

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